Hypothesis 1b: Ladies (men’s) inclination to help you get married only-college students is leaner than for marriage ceremonies in order to dudes (women) away from almost every other sibship ranks
Hypotheses
To check on the fresh benefits of alterations in sibship structure and you can specific sibship pairing propensities so you’re able to decreasing relationship costs within the Japan, i assess the after the five hypotheses.
Theory 1a: Women’s (men’s) inclination in order to marry oldest sons (oldest daughters and no brothers) is gloomier than for marriages to dudes (women) regarding almost every other sibship positions.
Such first couple of hypotheses articulate the fresh new foundational presumptions on marriage decisions trailing all of our questions relating to changes in marriage sector composition and you can combining propensities.
Theory dos: The fresh was partly said by an increasing frequency out-of earliest sons and oldest daughters no brothers (and additionally only-children) regarding the matrimony markets, online off changes in pairing propensities.
When the women’s (or men’s) wish to stop marrying oldest sons (or oldest daughters and no brothers) provides stayed secure through the years, we assume one to some the main marriage speed decline is told me (from inside the a statistical accounting experience) because of the changes in wedding business composition (we.age., the broadening frequency off oldest sons and you may earliest daughters as opposed to brothers, including just-children).
Hypothesis step three: The fresh new try partially explained of the a drop from the inclination getting pairings that encompass oldest sons and earliest daughters no brothers (as well as just-children).
Which theory reflects your situation where changing attitudes and you can preferences (because the shown inside the pairing propensities, web out-of relationships sector structure) aggravate the benefits off modifying marriage industry composition shown in Hypothesis 2. (далее…)